Fixed income
Trade-price grids, RFQ outcomes, spread moves, and liquidity events.
LARGE EVENT MODELS · CONSTRAINED FORECASTS
See the next
event coming.
LEMs turns your event history and adjacent signals into calibrated, bounded forecasts—so consequential decisions begin with an answer you can inspect.
MODELMises / constrained output
CONTEXTsame-type + adjacent events
OUTPUTfinite, auditable outcome set
YOUR FUTURE EVENT10:45:00forecast horizon · +1h
EVIDENCE →
PROBABILITY
01 / FORECAST STUDIO
Make the future
legible.
Start with a financial scenario. LEMs sends only a bounded output instruction to the model, so every answer is one of the outcomes you explicitly permit.
LEMs forecast request
private deliberation, bounded final answer
✦
READYChoose a scenario, then run a constrained forecast.
WHY CONSTRAINED?
The answer space
is a product decision.
Traditional language-model answers can be eloquent but operationally ambiguous. LEMs requires an outcome specification before prediction: named categories, an integer lattice, or a precisely formatted price grid.
01Define the target event and information cutoff.
02Supply analogues and relevant adjacent evidence.
03Receive ranked, permitted outcomes and their constrained probabilities.
02 / EVENT FORMAT
Bring evidence
with time attached.
The context packet cleanly separates direct historical analogues from adjacent evidence. Every event carries both when it happened and when it became knowable to prevent accidental look-ahead.
Download JSON Schema ↓INITIAL DOMAINS
Market events
Macro releases, credit actions, index changes, and regime transitions.
Public outcomes
Election and sports forecasts with explicit evidence provenance.